You are with your whole family on a private beach. No lifeguards or pedestrians around. Despite your insistence on waiting, your daughter and niece sneak away and go out to swim and get taken away by a the current. You hear the screams and see the strong waives overtaking them. Your niece is a poor swimmer and likely won’t make it back. Your daughter is a strong swimmer and has a 50% chance of making it back. Who do you save first? (You can only save one of them for sure.)

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